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    002466   CNE100000T32


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Asian companies at higher risk of default this year: data

06/08/2020 | 04:17am EDT

By Patturaja Murugaboopathy and Gaurav Dogra

Asian companies are at a higher risk of default in the coming quarters than last year, a Reuters analysis of their credit ratios showed, as the coronavirus pandemic has squeezed revenue and made it harder to refinance debt.

One measure of how easily a company can pay interest on outstanding debt - operating profit to interest ratio - fell to the lowest in 11 years at the end of March. The sample took into account companies worth at least $500 million with available data on Refinitiv.

Net debt to EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation), which shows how many years it would take a company to pay back debt, was at its highest since June 2014.

GRAPHIC: Asian companies' net debt to EBITDA ratio -

GRAPHIC: Asian companies' EBIT to interest expense ratio - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/rlgvdkolopo/Asian%20companies%20EBIT%20%20to%20interest%20expense%20ratio.jpg

"We expected the pick-up in default rates to be mostly amongst smaller companies who already had a stretched liquidity profile and less access to alternative funding channels," said Alaa Bushehri, head of emerging market debt at BNP Paribas Asset Management. 

"This is being exacerbated now by COVID-19 lockdowns, slow-down in activity and a lower commodity environment."

Energy, real estate and utilities firms topped default risk charts, Reuters found.

Airlines were the worst affected with flights grounded and people unwilling to travel. Virgin Australia, for example, entered into voluntary administration in April.

GRAPHIC: Asian companies' credit combined global rank -

Late last month, Moody's forecast the default rate on high-yield debt issued by non-financial Asia-Pacific firms would climb to 6.4% by the end of this year, from 2.3% in March.

Some companies will try to restructure their debt to avoid default, especially offshore debt.

That could be an uphill task as a sharp depreciation in Asian currencies this year has increased repayment costs of companies that have borrowed in dollars and have no natural or financial hedges in place, said Buddhika Piyasena, head of Asia-Pacific Corporate Ratings at Fitch Ratings.

The yield on a bond <CN166986559=> issued by China's Tianqi Lithium Corp, for instance, climbed to about 60% last month on perceived higher risk of the company missing its interest payments this year. It is currently trading at 40%.

About $100 billion worth of dollar bonds are maturing between June 2020 and December 2021, according to Refinitiv data.

"High-yield companies with weak credit quality will likely have increasing difficulty refinancing offshore bonds, given coronavirus induced market volatility and investors' heightened risk aversion," Moody's analyst Sean Hwang said in a note.

"We expect investors to be increasingly selective in managing their high-yield exposure, which will weaken low-rated companies' access to funding."

GRAPHIC: Asia companies' country-wise credit combined global rank -

(Reporting by Patturaja Murugaboopathy and Gaurav Dogra in Bengaluru; Editing by Sayantani Ghosh and Jacqueline Wong)

© Reuters 2020
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
BNP PARIBAS 0.21% 57.71 Real-time Quote.33.88%
TIANQI LITHIUM CORPORATION -4.40% 96.36 End-of-day quote.145.38%
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Analyst Recommendations on TIANQI LITHIUM CORPORATION
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Sales 2021 6 014 M 942 M 942 M
Net income 2021 697 M 109 M 109 M
Net Debt 2021 22 722 M 3 559 M 3 559 M
P/E ratio 2021 211x
Yield 2021 0,01%
Capitalization 142 B 22 293 M 22 296 M
EV / Sales 2021 27,4x
EV / Sales 2022 15,7x
Nbr of Employees 1 644
Free-Float 65,6%
Duration : Period :
Tianqi Lithium Corporation Technical Analysis Chart | 002466 | CNE100000T32 | MarketScreener
Technical analysis trends TIANQI LITHIUM CORPORATION
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Income Statement Evolution
Mean consensus OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts 8
Last Close Price 96,36 CNY
Average target price 139,34 CNY
Spread / Average Target 44,6%
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Managers and Directors
Wei Ping Jiang Chairman & President
Jun Zou Chief Financial Officer & Director
Jin Yan Chairman-Supervisory Board
Kun Lun Du Independent Director
Ying Pan Independent Director
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