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MarketScreener Homepage  >  Equities  >  Nyse  >  Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.    HTZ


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With More Americans Hitting the Road for Travel, Rental-Car Companies Revive

11/02/2020 | 07:00am EST

By Nora Naughton

Rental-car companies, crushed by a collapse in bookings at the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic, are now getting a lift from two unexpected sources: rising used-car prices and more people looking to travel by car.

When the new coronavirus outbreak hit the U.S. in force this spring, the rental-car industry sustained a dual blow: a steep drop-off in business as people and companies canceled travel plans and a nosedive in resale values for their fleets. The drop-off in used-car prices was particularly damaging for Hertz Global Holdings Inc., helping to push the 102-year-old company into bankruptcy.

But over the summer, the industry's fortunes began to reverse. Used-car prices snapped back and even hit record levels in August as dealers grew tight on inventory. That market stabilization was crucial for rental-car firms because they regularly turn over their fleets and are sensitive to changes in resale values.

Customers, wary of air travel, rushed to rent vehicles for road trips and business needs and as an alternative to using ride-hailing apps operated by Uber Technologies Inc. and Lyft Inc., executives and analysts say.

These trends helped Avis Budget Group Inc. swing to a net profit of $45 million in the third quarter, reversing losses in the first half of the year, the company said Friday. Privately held Enterprise Holdings Inc. also said it has benefited from an uptick in leisure travel, with bookings improving over the summer and customers renting vehicles for longer periods.

Both Avis and Enterprise say they plan to resume buying vehicles to update their fleets after some downsizing earlier in the year, a move that could bolster sales for car companies reliant on rental-car firms for a portion of their business.

Hertz, still in bankruptcy and recently delisted from the New York Stock Exchange, this summer pointed to record used-car prices as aiding efforts to whittle down the company's fleet to raise cash.

"We're starting to see new usage cases for rental cars," said Chris Woronka, an analyst for Deutsche Bank. "In big cities, people are renting cars to get to work, and some companies are even paying for that instead of public transportation. That just didn't exist before."

While the outlook is improving, rental-car bookings are still down compared with last year, and firms continue to cut costs to offset the decline in revenue, executives say.

The car-rental firms' recovery illustrates how businesses are quickly adapting to new routines and lifestyles created by the health crisis and even finding unexpected opportunities in the way people have changed their lives.

Before the outbreak, the rental-car industry was fending off threats to its business, including a loss of customers to Uber, Lyft and other ride-hailing firms. But now many Americans are avoiding shared transportation in the midst of the health crisis, creating an opening for the rental-car companies, Mr. Woronka said. Ridership is slowly returning for Uber and Lyft but remains below pre-pandemic levels, the companies have said.

Michelle James, a quality engineer for an automotive supplier in Ohio, said that in June she started renting vehicles from Enterprise for her business trips, driving to Alabama and Michigan in recent weeks. Ms. James travels often for her job and said that having her own space makes her feel safer than flying during the pandemic.

"I would just rather be in a car by myself," she said.

Reservations for rental cars collapsed in the spring when widespread lockdowns squashed the travel industry.

Avis said reservations fell 60% after travel restrictions were issued in March, and the rental-car company implemented furloughs and job cuts aiming to reverse losses. Avis also began aggressively selling off a portion of its fleet this spring at depressed prices.

Used-car values in April hit their lowest levels in history, according to vehicle-auction operator Manheim Inc., denting the value of daily-rental fleets and creating challenges with lenders. For Hertz, plummeting used-car values meant it had to make additional payments on its fleets to cover depreciation, precipitating its fall into bankruptcy.

As the economy reopened this summer, people fleeing cities and wanting personal transportation rushed to buy used vehicles, and preowned prices surged, rising more than 30% from April to September. That was well above typical seasonal fluctuations, according to research firm J.D. Power.

"Rental-car companies suddenly were in a very ideal position," said Jonathan Banks, an automotive analyst with J.D. Power who tracks vehicle valuations. "There was some initial worry that they would flood the used-car market, but it ended up being a boon."

By June, reservations for rental cars began to rebound, and the rise in resale values helped rental-car companies more profitably downsize their fleets, executives and analysts say.

Avis executives credited the company's third-quarter net profit in large part to the strength in the used-car market. The company expects results will continue to improve through further cost-cutting measures and as travelers continue to show a preference for using autos to get around.

"We believe there may be meaningful pent-up travel demand from those feeling cabin fever," Avis Chief Financial Officer Brian Choi told investors Friday.

Enterprise also has benefited from recent customer shifts in travel, largely because it has a more expansive network of stand-alone stores and is less dependent on airport business.

Rather than sell down its fleet, it has quickly shifted more vehicles to nonairport locations, where demand is stronger, said Enterprise's operations chief, Dave Nestor, in an interview.

"In some of the markets that have historically depended on public transportation for people to get to work, we have seen our business spike," Mr. Nestor said. That hasn't led only to more bookings but also customers renting cars for longer periods, he said.

Write to Nora Naughton at nora.naughton@wsj.com

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

11-02-20 0659ET

Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
AVIS BUDGET GROUP, INC. 0.03% 38.99 Delayed Quote.4.53%
DEUTSCHE BANK AG -3.69% 9.627 Delayed Quote.7.58%
HERTZ GLOBAL HOLDINGS, INC. -2.33% 1.26 Delayed Quote.-1.56%
LYFT, INC. -1.77% 47.88 Delayed Quote.-2.54%
UBER TECHNOLOGIES, INC. -2.44% 55.52 Delayed Quote.8.86%
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More news
Financials (USD)
Sales 2020 5 217 M - -
Net income 2020 -1 728 M - -
Net Debt 2020 11 749 M - -
P/E ratio 2020 -0,11x
Yield 2020 -
Capitalization 197 M 197 M -
EV / Sales 2020 2,29x
EV / Sales 2021 2,00x
Nbr of Employees 38 000
Free-Float 98,4%
Duration : Period :
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. Technical Analysis Chart | HTZ | US42806J1060 | MarketScreener
Income Statement Evolution
Mean consensus UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts 2
Average target price 2,00 $
Last Close Price 1,26 $
Spread / Highest target 58,7%
Spread / Average Target 58,7%
Spread / Lowest Target 58,7%
EPS Revisions
Managers and Directors
Paul E. Stone President, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Henry R. Keizer Independent Non-Executive Chairman
Joe McPherson Executive Vice President-North America Operations
Kenny K. Cheung Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President
Opal G. Perry Chief Information Officer & Executive VP
Sector and Competitors
1st jan.Capitalization (M$)
SIXT SE5.19%4 998