ECKERT & ZIEGLER STRAHLEN- UND MEDIZINTECHNIK AG

(EUZ)
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Eckert & Ziegler Strahlen und Medizintechnik : Hauck & Aufhäuser

06/10/2021 | 05:54am EDT

Eckert & Ziegler AG

Germany - High-tech Engineering

Buy (old: Buy)

10-June-21

Price target: EUR 120.50 (old: EUR 120.50)

Aliaksandr Halitsa

Analyst

Price:

EUR 95.35

Next result:

Q2 12.08.2021

Bloomberg:

EUZ GR

Market cap:

EUR 1,918.0 m

aliaksandr.halitsa@ha-ib.de

Reuters:

EUZG.DE

Enterprise Value:

EUR 1,835.6 m

Tel.: +49 40 414 3885 83

Radioligand therapies to open up a new era of solid tumor treatments

At this point, there's no doubt that the so-calledradioligand therapies (RLT) - that use tumor specific markers (i.e. ligands) to guide radioactive isotopes (e.g. Lu-177 or Y-90) to the area of cancers - is a revolutionary discovery that is seen to improve patient outcomes across different types of tumors (next page).

  • Following Lutathera's approval in 2018 for midgut neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) - which already generates c. € 500m annual sales - Novartis reported positive Phase 3 results with radioligand therapy for prostate cancer (177Lu-PSMA-617) with regulatory submission scheduled for H2 '21. Convinced by the benefits of the radioligand technology in oncology, Novartis is making a strong commitment to this space.
    During the American Society of Clinical Oncology's Annual Meeting, Novartis was in the spotlight with prostate cancer treatment and the radioligand technology in general, which according to CEO "will open up a whole new era of solid tumor treatments".
    Through a number of licensing deals - including iTheranostics and Artios - Novartis has built a broad portfolio of compounds that should expand the radioligand concept into a range of other solid tumors. It is currently working on the next generation of RLT with more than 15 active research programs.
  • Bayer follows suit in harnessing radiation for cancer treatment. With the recent acquisitions of Noria and PSMA Therapeutics, Bayer broadened its existing oncology portfolio of targeted alpha therapies, which also use tumor specific compounds to deliver radiation to the tumor site. This includes targeted thorium conjugates (next page) where EUZ provides the infrastructure for handling, manufacture and distribution of the TTCs for clinical trials.

Thanks to its broad expertise in supplying mission-critical isotopes for this type of cancer treatments, EUZ is seen to strongly benefit from the market growth of 40% CAGR from c. $ 1bn in 2019 to > $ 20bn in 2030E.

Furthermore, EUZ is carrying a significant upside optionality through its 83% stake in PentixaPharm who develops a highly promising RLT with therapeutic potential in a range of hematologic and solid cancers. In our view, this could become a highly sought-after asset, just like Lutathera or 177Lu-PSMA.

BUY with an unchanged of PT € 120.5 pbased on SOTP.

Y/E 31.12 (EUR m)

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021E

2022E

2023E

Sales

138.6

168.7

178.5

176.1

183.6

226.3

281.3

Sales growth

16 %

22 %

6 %

-1 %

4 %

23 %

24 %

EBITDA

26.6

32.0

43.1

44.8

50.5

66.6

90.5

EBIT

18.0

23.4

32.1

33.7

39.4

55.5

80.5

Net income

14.7

16.1

22.0

22.9

26.9

38.3

55.9

Net debt

-56.0

-54.1

-78.9

-88.6

-96.9

-117.8

-146.2

Net gearing

-49.8 % -44.1 %

-57.1 %

-59.9 %

-59.6 %

-61.3 % -62.4 %

Net Debt/EBITDA

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

EPS pro forma

0.57

3.12

1.06

1.04

1.31

1.86

2.72

CPS

0.89

0.64

1.46

1.28

1.02

1.32

1.88

DPS

0.80

1.20

0.35

0.35

0.44

0.62

0.90

Dividend yield

0.9 %

1.3 %

0.4 %

0.4 %

0.5 %

0.7 %

1.0 %

Gross profit margin

46.1 %

44.1 %

48.8 %

49.1 %

50.5 %

52.5 %

53.1 %

EBITDA margin

19.2 %

18.9 %

24.2 %

25.4 %

27.5 %

29.4 %

32.2 %

EBIT margin

13.0 %

13.9 %

18.0 %

19.1 %

21.5 %

24.5 %

28.6 %

ROCE

13.8 %

17.6 %

22.5 %

22.9 %

26.2 %

26.2 %

27.4 %

EV/sales

13.5

11.1

10.3

10.5

10.0

8.0

6.4

EV/EBITDA

70.2

58.5

42.8

41.2

36.4

27.2

19.7

EV/EBIT

104.0

80.0

57.6

54.7

46.6

32.7

22.2

PER

163.7

115.2

85.3

86.9

68.5

47.4

34.3

Adjusted FCF yield

0.7 %

0.9 %

1.3 %

1.3 %

1.6 %

2.2 %

3.3 %

Source: Company data, Hauck & Aufhäuser Close price as of: 09.06.2021

Source: Company data, Hauck & Aufhäuser

High/low 52 weeks:

93.90 / 32.75

Price/Book Ratio:

11.9

Relative performance (SDAX):

3 months

52.3 %

6 months

96.6 %

12 months

133.3 %

Changes in estimates

Sales

EBIT

EPS

2021

old:

183.6

39.4

1.31

-

-

-

2022

old:

226.3

55.5

1.86

-

-

-

2023

old:

281.3

80.5

2.72

-

-

-

Key share data:

Number of shares: (in m pcs)

20.6

Authorised capital: (in € m)

0.6

Book value per share: (in €)

7.9

Ø trading volume: (12 months)

20,453

Major shareholders:

Free float

67.8 %

Founders

32.2 %

Eckert & Ziegler AG

0.1 %

Company description:

Produces and markets a wide range of industrial and medical applications featuring radioactive isotopes, including prostate seed implants, calibration standards and radiation afterloaders.

Please refer to important disclosures at the end of the report

Eckert & Ziegler AG

Radioligand therapy

Source: POINT Biopharma

2

Hauck & Aufhäuser Privatbankiers AG

Eckert & Ziegler AG

Financials

Profit and loss (EUR m)

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021E

2022E

2023E

Sales

138.6

168.7

178.5

176.1

183.6

226.3

281.3

Sales growth

15.7 %

21.7 %

5.8 %

-1.3 %

4.2 %

23.3 %

24.3 %

Cost of sales

74.8

94.4

91.5

89.6

90.9

107.5

131.9

Gross profit

63.9

74.3

87.0

86.5

92.7

118.8

149.3

Sales and marketing

20.0

23.3

22.9

21.7

22.8

26.0

28.1

General and administration

23.9

26.9

27.6

28.1

27.9

33.5

38.3

Research and development

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Other operating income

3.8

3.5

2.8

5.8

5.8

5.8

5.8

Other operating expenses

4.5

4.5

7.1

7.2

8.4

9.5

8.2

Unusual or infrequent items

-1.2

0.2

-0.2

-1.6

0.0

0.0

0.0

EBITDA

26.6

32.0

43.1

44.8

50.5

66.6

90.5

Depreciation

8.6

8.6

11.1

11.1

11.1

11.1

10.0

EBITA

18.0

23.4

32.1

33.7

39.4

55.5

80.5

Amortisation of goodwill

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Amortisation of intangible assets

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Impairment charges

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

EBIT (inc revaluation net)

18.0

23.4

32.1

33.7

39.4

55.5

80.5

Interest income

0.3

0.2

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

Interest expenses

0.9

0.7

1.1

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.2

Other financial result

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Financial result

-0.6

-0.5

-0.8

-0.9

-0.9

-0.9

-0.9

Recurring pretax income from continuing operations

17.3

22.9

31.2

32.7

38.4

54.6

79.6

Extraordinary income/loss

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Earnings before taxes

17.3

22.9

31.2

32.7

38.4

54.6

79.6

Taxes

5.3

6.0

8.8

9.6

11.3

16.1

23.4

Net income from continuing operations

12.0

16.9

22.5

23.1

27.1

38.5

56.2

Result from discontinued operations (net of tax)

3.1

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Net income

15.1

16.9

22.5

23.1

27.1

38.5

56.2

Minority interest

0.4

0.8

0.5

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

Net profit (reported)

14.7

16.1

22.0

22.9

26.9

38.3

55.9

Average number of shares

20.5

20.5

20.5

20.6

20.6

20.6

20.6

EPS reported

0.72

0.79

1.07

1.11

1.31

1.86

2.72

Profit and loss (common size)

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021E

2022E

2023E

Sales

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

Cost of sales

53.9 %

55.9 %

51.2 %

50.9 %

49.5 %

47.5 %

46.9 %

Gross profit

46.1 %

44.1 %

48.8 %

49.1 %

50.5 %

52.5 %

53.1 %

Sales and marketing

14.4 %

13.8 %

12.8 %

12.3 %

12.4 %

11.5 %

10.0 %

General and administration

17.3 %

15.9 %

15.4 %

15.9 %

15.2 %

14.8 %

13.6 %

Research and development

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

Other operating income

2.7 %

2.1 %

1.6 %

3.3 %

3.1 %

2.5 %

2.0 %

Other operating expenses

3.2 %

2.6 %

4.0 %

4.1 %

4.6 %

4.2 %

2.9 %

Unusual or infrequent items

neg.

0.1 %

neg.

neg.

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

EBITDA

19.2 %

18.9 %

24.2 %

25.4 %

27.5 %

29.4 %

32.2 %

Depreciation

6.2 %

5.1 %

6.2 %

6.3 %

6.0 %

4.9 %

3.6 %

EBITA

13.0 %

13.9 %

18.0 %

19.1 %

21.5 %

24.5 %

28.6 %

Amortisation of goodwill

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

Amortisation of intangible assets

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

Impairment charges

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

EBIT (inc revaluation net)

13.0 %

13.9 %

18.0 %

19.1 %

21.5 %

24.5 %

28.6 %

Interest income

0.2 %

0.1 %

0.2 %

0.1 %

0.1 %

0.1 %

0.1 %

Interest expenses

0.6 %

0.4 %

0.6 %

0.7 %

0.6 %

0.5 %

0.4 %

Other financial result

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

Financial result

neg.

neg.

neg.

neg.

neg.

neg.

neg.

Recurring pretax income from continuing operations

12.5 %

13.6 %

17.5 %

18.6 %

20.9 %

24.1 %

28.3 %

Extraordinary income/loss

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

Earnings before taxes

12.5 %

13.6 %

17.5 %

18.6 %

20.9 %

24.1 %

28.3 %

Tax rate

30.7 %

26.2 %

28.1 %

29.4 %

29.4 %

29.4 %

29.4 %

Net income from continuing operations

8.7 %

10.0 %

12.6 %

13.1 %

14.8 %

17.0 %

20.0 %

Result from discontinued operations (net of tax)

2.2 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

Net income

10.9 %

10.0 %

12.6 %

13.1 %

14.8 %

17.0 %

20.0 %

Minority interest

0.3 %

0.4 %

0.3 %

0.1 %

0.1 %

0.1 %

0.1 %

Net profit (reported)

10.6 %

9.6 %

12.3 %

13.0 %

14.7 %

16.9 %

19.9 %

Source: Company data, Hauck & Aufhäuser

3

Hauck & Aufhäuser Privatbankiers AG

Eckert & Ziegler AG

Balance sheet (EUR m)

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021E

2022E

2023E

Intangible assets

51.4

52.5

51.9

41.4

41.4

41.4

41.4

Property, plant and equipment

33.8

36.9

40.0

38.0

41.9

38.2

34.7

Financial assets

3.2

3.5

5.2

8.0

8.0

8.0

8.0

FIXED ASSETS

88.5

93.0

97.1

87.4

91.3

87.6

84.1

Inventories

26.8

28.8

31.2

33.6

37.5

43.5

54.1

Accounts receivable

24.3

28.3

29.5

28.2

32.2

39.7

49.3

Other current assets

10.9

14.9

26.6

42.3

42.3

42.3

42.3

Liquid assets

57.7

54.2

78.9

88.6

96.9

117.8

146.2

Deferred taxes

8.8

9.9

10.9

11.9

0.0

0.0

0.0

Deferred charges and prepaid expenses

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

CURRENT ASSETS

128.5

136.1

177.1

204.6

208.8

243.3

291.9

TOTAL ASSETS

217.0

229.1

274.2

292.0

300.2

330.9

375.9

SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY

112.3

122.6

138.2

147.8

162.6

192.0

234.1

MINORITY INTEREST

5.2

1.2

1.2

1.1

1.1

0.0

0.0

Long-term debt

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Provisions for pensions and similar obligations

11.7

11.4

13.5

14.4

14.4

14.4

14.4

Other provisions

48.7

55.1

66.4

70.5

64.8

66.1

67.4

Non-current liabilities

60.4

66.5

79.9

84.9

79.3

80.6

81.9

short-term liabilities to banks

1.7

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Accounts payable

4.5

6.5

4.5

5.0

6.2

7.4

9.0

Advance payments received on orders

5.9

4.1

12.0

8.6

8.6

8.6

8.6

Other liabilities (incl. from lease and rental contracts)

17.3

17.4

35.6

42.3

42.3

42.3

42.3

Deferred taxes

6.4

7.1

2.8

2.2

0.0

0.0

0.0

Deferred income

3.3

3.6

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Current liabilities

39.1

38.8

54.9

58.2

57.2

58.3

60.0

TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY

217.0

229.1

274.2

292.0

300.2

330.9

375.9

Balance sheet (common size)

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021E

2022E

2023E

Intangible assets

23.7 %

22.9 %

18.9 %

14.2 %

13.8 %

12.5 %

11.0 %

Property, plant and equipment

15.6 %

16.1 %

14.6 %

13.0 %

14.0 %

11.5 %

9.2 %

Financial assets

1.5 %

1.5 %

1.9 %

2.7 %

2.7 %

2.4 %

2.1 %

FIXED ASSETS

40.8 %

40.6 %

35.4 %

29.9 %

30.4 %

26.5 %

22.4 %

Inventories

12.3 %

12.6 %

11.4 %

11.5 %

12.5 %

13.2 %

14.4 %

Accounts receivable

11.2 %

12.4 %

10.8 %

9.7 %

10.7 %

12.0 %

13.1 %

Other current assets

5.0 %

6.5 %

9.7 %

14.5 %

14.1 %

12.8 %

11.3 %

Liquid assets

26.6 %

23.7 %

28.8 %

30.3 %

32.3 %

35.6 %

38.9 %

Deferred taxes

4.1 %

4.3 %

4.0 %

4.1 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

Deferred charges and prepaid expenses

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

CURRENT ASSETS

59.2 %

59.4 %

64.6 %

70.1 %

69.6 %

73.5 %

77.6 %

TOTAL ASSETS

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY

51.8 %

53.5 %

50.4 %

50.6 %

54.2 %

58.0 %

62.3 %

MINORITY INTEREST

2.4 %

0.5 %

0.5 %

0.4 %

0.4 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

Long-term debt

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

Provisions for pensions and similar obligations

5.4 %

5.0 %

4.9 %

4.9 %

4.8 %

4.4 %

3.8 %

Other provisions

22.4 %

24.0 %

24.2 %

24.1 %

21.6 %

20.0 %

17.9 %

Non-current liabilities

27.8 %

29.0 %

29.1 %

29.1 %

26.4 %

24.4 %

21.8 %

short-term liabilities to banks

0.8 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

Accounts payable

2.1 %

2.8 %

1.6 %

1.7 %

2.1 %

2.2 %

2.4 %

Advance payments received on orders

2.7 %

1.8 %

4.4 %

3.0 %

2.9 %

2.6 %

2.3 %

Other liabilities (incl. from lease and rental contracts)

8.0 %

7.6 %

13.0 %

14.5 %

14.1 %

12.8 %

11.3 %

Deferred taxes

3.0 %

3.1 %

1.0 %

0.8 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

Deferred income

1.5 %

1.6 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

0.0 %

Current liabilities

18.0 %

16.9 %

20.0 %

19.9 %

19.1 %

17.6 %

16.0 %

TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

100.0 %

Source: Company data, Hauck & Aufhäuser

4

Hauck & Aufhäuser Privatbankiers AG

Eckert & Ziegler AG

Cash flow statement (EUR m)

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021E

2022E

2023E

Net profit/loss

15.1

16.9

22.5

23.1

27.1

38.5

56.2

Depreciation of fixed assets (incl. leases)

8.6

8.6

11.1

11.1

11.1

11.1

10.0

Amortisation of goodwill

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Amortisation of intangible assets

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Others

5.5

2.8

10.6

4.3

0.0

0.0

0.0

Cash flow from operations before changes in w/c

29.3

28.2

44.1

38.5

38.2

49.6

66.2

Increase/decrease in inventory

-1.7

0.7

-2.2

-2.4

-3.9

-6.1

-10.6

Increase/decrease in accounts receivable

-1.1

-4.0

-1.2

0.1

-4.0

-7.5

-9.6

Increase/decrease in accounts payable

-1.9

2.0

-0.4

0.5

1.2

1.1

1.7

Increase/decrease in other working capital positions

2.2

-5.7

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Increase/decrease in working capital

-2.5

-7.0

-3.7

-1.7

-6.7

-12.4

-18.5

Cash flow from operating activities

26.8

21.2

40.4

36.8

31.5

37.2

47.7

CAPEX

4.2

6.1

7.3

8.9

15.0

7.3

6.5

Payments for acquisitions

5.5

2.1

0.9

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Financial investments

0.5

0.0

0.0

5.4

0.0

0.0

0.0

Income from asset disposals

15.2

-2.5

2.5

0.9

0.0

0.0

0.0

Cash flow from investing activities

5.1

-10.7

-5.7

-13.3

-15.0

-7.3

-6.5

Cash flow before financing

31.9

10.5

34.7

23.4

16.5

29.9

41.2

Increase/decrease in debt position

-5.3

-1.7

-2.7

-3.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Purchase of own shares

0.0

8.6

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Capital measures

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Dividends paid

3.5

4.1

6.2

8.8

7.1

9.0

12.8

Others

-1.2

-0.2

-1.7

-1.2

0.0

0.0

0.0

Effects of exchange rate changes on cash

-0.8

0.6

0.5

-1.9

0.0

0.0

0.0

Cash flow from financing activities

-10.0

-14.6

-10.5

-13.0

-7.1

-9.0

-12.8

Increase/decrease in liquid assets

21.1

-3.5

24.7

8.6

9.4

20.9

28.4

Liquid assets at end of period

57.7

54.2

78.9

87.4

96.9

117.8

146.2

Source: Company data, Hauck & Aufhäuser

Regional split (EUR m)

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021E

2022E

2023E

Domestic

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

yoy change

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Rest of Europe

84.9

96.8

110.4

125.9

143.5

163.6

186.5

yoy change

14.0 %

14.0 %

14.0 %

14.0 %

14.0 %

14.0 %

14.0 %

NAFTA

53.0

60.9

70.1

80.6

92.7

106.6

122.5

yoy change

15.0 %

15.0 %

15.0 %

15.0 %

15.0 %

15.0 %

15.0 %

Asia Pacific

15.8

17.9

20.2

22.9

25.8

29.2

33.0

yoy change

13.0 %

13.0 %

13.0 %

13.0 %

13.0 %

13.0 %

13.0 %

Rest of world

-15.1

-7.0

-22.2

-53.1

-78.4

-73.0

-60.7

yoy change

neg.

neg.

neg.

neg.

neg.

neg.

neg.

TTL

138.6

168.7

178.5

176.1

183.6

226.3

281.3

yoy change

15.7 %

21.7 %

5.8 %

-1.3 %

4.2 %

23.3 %

24.3 %

Source: Company data, Hauck & Aufhäuser

5

Hauck & Aufhäuser Privatbankiers AG

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