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    601328   CNE1000000S2

BANK OF COMMUNICATIONS CO., LTD.

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Chinese banks to post first first-half profit drop in over a decade amid pandemic pain

08/23/2020 | 09:48pm EDT
FILE PHOTO: A logo of Bank of China is seen next to skyscrapers at the Pudong financial area in Shanghai

Some of China's largest banks are set to post their first drop in first-half profits since the global financial crisis, hit by a surge in bad debt and higher loan-loss provisions due to the coronavirus pandemic, analysts and official data indicate.

The big five state banks including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), China Construction Bank (CCB), and Bank of China (BoC) kick off their earnings season on Aug. 28.

"Banks had it easy in the past, but now many signs indicate they're under great pressure," said Hong Hao, head of research at BoCom International. "The pandemic has hit small businesses hard ... the balance sheets won't be pretty."

Chinese commercial banks overall posted a 9.4% fall in first half net profit, while the six biggest posted a 12% profit fall from a year ago, according to China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC) data.

China's cabinet said in June that authorities would push financial institutions to sacrifice 1.5 trillion yuan ($212 billion) in profit this year to support companies of all kinds by lowering lending rates and fees, and deferring loan payments.

The banking regulator has asked some state lenders to fully recognise bad loans on balance sheets and increase buffers for covering souring debt in the first half of the year, which will weigh on profits, two bankers from one of the lenders told Reuters.

In a rare move, some leading brokerages in China cancelled their forecasts for first-half bank earnings. One analyst, speaking to Reuters, cited uncertainties about "profits each bank may sacrifice for the real economy".

Some smaller banks are also being pushed by the regulator to take measures such as slashing bankers' salaries to shore up their balance sheets and face the "tough days", bankers have said previously.

(For graphic on China banks' earnings revisions, click:

)

In recent state media interviews, CBIRC chairman Guo Shuqing urged banks to set aside more cash as loan-loss buffers, and come up with "realistic" profit plans.

China's banking industry is expected to dispose of 3.4 trillion yuan ($490 billion) of bad loans in 2020 to contain financial risks in an economy weakened by COVID-19, the official Xinhua News Agency reported on Aug 13.

The CBIRC and the banks did not immediately respond to requests for comment, but the regulator said in a Saturday statement that the banking sector has sacrificed more than 870 billion yuan in profit in the first seven months of 2020.

China's economy returned to growth in the second quarter after a deep virus-induced slump at the start of the year, but analysts say the recovery remains fragile. Regulators have been urging lenders to offer cheap loans and lend more to small businesses in order to support employment and growth.

"It's highly likely that banks will keep implementing some of the fiscal and monetary stimulus policies to counter the impact of COVID-19 in the second half of 2020," said Zhang Chi, rating director of Fitch Bohua, the rating agency's China unit.

"Lower interest rates, fee cuts, a lending push and loan payment forbearance measures will continue to squeeze the net interest margin of lenders."

By Cheng Leng, Zhang Yan and Sumeet Chatterjee


© Reuters 2020
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
BANK OF CHINA LIMITED -0.37% 2.71 End-of-day quote.2.26%
BANK OF COMMUNICATIONS CO., LTD. 0.00% 4.41 End-of-day quote.-1.56%
CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK CORPORATION -0.36% 5.46 End-of-day quote.-7.30%
CHINA ZHESHANG BANK CO., LTD 0.56% 3.58 End-of-day quote.-5.54%
INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL BANK OF CHINA LIMITED -0.23% 4.42 End-of-day quote.-12.13%
INDUSTRIAL BANK CO., LTD. -0.60% 19.79 End-of-day quote.-5.17%
UNITED STATES DOLLAR (B) / CHINESE YUAN IN HONG KONG (USD/CNH) 0.03% 6.4726 Delayed Quote.-0.38%
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Financials
Sales 2021 255 B 39 289 M 39 289 M
Net income 2021 79 887 M 12 327 M 12 327 M
Net Debt 2021 - - -
P/E ratio 2021 4,43x
Yield 2021 7,21%
Capitalization 367 B 47 209 M 56 600 M
Capi. / Sales 2021 1,44x
Capi. / Sales 2022 1,34x
Nbr of Employees 90 716
Free-Float 52,4%
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Bank of Communications Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis Chart | 601328 | CNE1000000S2 | MarketScreener
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Mean consensus OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts 19
Last Close Price 4,55 CNY
Average target price 4,63 CNY
Spread / Average Target 1,83%
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Managers and Directors
Jun Liu Vice Chairman & President
De Qi Ren Chairman
Chi Wai Yeung Independent Non-Executive Director
Chin Wan Woo Independent Non-Executive Director
Hao Yi Cai Independent Non-Executive Director