Log in
E-mail
Password
Show password
Remember
Forgot password ?
Become a member for free
Sign up
Sign up
New member
Sign up for FREE
New customer
Discover our services
Settings
Settings
Dynamic quotes 
OFFON
News: Latest News
Latest NewsCompaniesMarketsEconomy & ForexCommoditiesInterest RatesBusiness LeadersFinance Pro.CalendarSectors 
All NewsEconomyCurrencies & ForexEconomic EventsCryptocurrenciesCybersecurityPress Releases

Exclusive: Bundesbank expects chip bottlenecks in German industry to worsen in Q2

04/30/2021 | 02:21am EST
FILE PHOTO: The spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Berlin

BERLIN (Reuters) - The chip supply bottlenecks in German industry will likely worsen in the second quarter and lead to an overall weaker recovery of Europe's largest economy this year, the Bundesbank's chief economist told Reuters on Friday.

Shortages of semiconductors and other industrial components have led to production cuts in manufacturing, forcing executives and policymakers to rethink supply lines and try to reduce reliance on a handful of Asian and U.S. suppliers.

Automakers and electronics producers are being hit hard by delivery delays of chips, caused by factory closures during the first COVID-19 wave last year and a spike in demand for semiconductors in an increasingly digitised world.

"We expect the problem with semiconductor shortages to worsen somewhat in the second quarter. It could then normalize from the middle of the year," said Jens Ulbrich, chief economist of the German central bank, the Bundesbank.

Asked how much growth the bottlenecks would cost the German economy as a whole, Ulbrich said the negative impact was hard to quantify.

"We do see clear signs of slowing down in vehicle production in the first quarter. However, it is not possible to isolate the semiconductor effect, as various other factors also overlap with it," Ulbrich said.

He pointed to special factors related to Britain's exit from the European Union which led to pull-forward effects and increased production in the fourth quarter, which then resulted in a certain weakness at the beginning of the year.

"The sales tax increase also played a similar role. Ultimately, only the manufacturers can quantify the effect," Ulbrich said.

But there is no doubt that the chip bottlenecks and related production cuts will lead to weaker growth this year.

"The recovery will probably be a little less strong than without this specific semiconductor problem," Ulbrich said.

The Bundesbank expects nonetheless a relatively strong upswing from the middle of the year which will then also be supported by private consumption, he added.

The German government earlier this week lifted its economic growth forecast for this year to 3.5% from 3% previously, counting on a rebound of household spending once COVID-19 restrictions are lifted in the course of the summer.

(Reporting by Michael Nienaber in Berlin; Editing by Matthew Lewis)

By Michael Nienaber


© Reuters 2021
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
AREEYA PROPERTY PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED -0.98% 5.05 End-of-day quote.1.00%
DAIMLER AG 1.65% 86.91 Delayed Quote.47.90%
INTEL CORPORATION 3.53% 50.99 Delayed Quote.2.35%
SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO., LTD. 0.93% 76300 End-of-day quote.-5.80%
SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION -3.46% 20.95 End-of-day quote.-5.20%
SIEMENS AG 1.85% 152.22 Delayed Quote.27.08%
TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING COMPANY LIMITED -1.32% 600 End-of-day quote.13.21%
UNITED MICROELECTRONICS CORPORATION -1.46% 67.3 End-of-day quote.42.74%
VOLKSWAGEN AG 1.16% 172.16 Delayed Quote.11.73%
Latest news "Economy & Forex"
04:58aBulls back in charge as Omicron worries wane
RE
04:56aPAG fields interest for Chinese industrial gases firm AirPower -sources
RE
04:52aLG Energy Solution targets up to $10.9 billion in S.Korea's biggest IPO
RE
04:51aSouth African economy contracts 1.5% in Q3, more than expected
RE
04:40aEURO ZONE BANKS COMPLACENT TO RISING RISKS : ECB's Enria
RE
04:39aBritain's financial watchdog proposes 'reset' in consumer protection
RE
04:27aLG Energy Solution, the battery maker behind S.Korea's biggest IPO
RE
04:26aSterling Could Stabilize Even if BOE Delays Rate Rise
DJ
04:23aEU travel curbs needed till more known about Omicron -Germany's Spahn
RE
04:22aCommodity currencies boosted by hopes Omicron will be mild
RE
Latest news "Economy & Forex"