Clackmannanshire is both Scotland and the UK's most affordable area for first-time buyers (FTBs), according to new analysis from Bank of Scotland. The review also identified that the average Scottish FTB in 2021 was 31 years old, paid £166,919, and put down a deposit of £37,038 (22%).
First-time buyer numbers up
Since 2009 the number of people getting on the housing ladder in Scotland has more than doubled. Having fallen in 2020, the number of people buying a first home jumped by almost a quarter in 2021 - rising 24% to 35,627.
Table 1: Number of First-Time buyers in Scotland.
Number of first-time buyers
Annual % change
First-time buyers as % of all home purchase loans
2009
17,580
38%
2010
17,170
-2%
37%
2011
16,220
-6%
38%
2012
18,610
15%
41%
2013
22,920
23%
44%
2014
27,550
20%
47%
2015
28,430
3%
46%
2016
30,660
8%
50%
2017
33,560
9%
50%
2018
32,480
-3%
50%
2019
32,630
0%
49%
2020
28,740
-12%
51%
2021
35,627
24%
49%
Price growth outstrips deposit growth
The average first home in Scotland now costs £166,919, up 8% on 12 months ago, while the average deposit grew by 4% to £37,038. The UK average FTB home was £264,140 - up 3%.
Table 2: First-time buyers: Average price and deposit by UK region, 1 year change 2021
Average House Price 2020 (£s)
Average House Price 2021 (£s)
Average Deposit 2020 (£s)
Average Deposit 2021 (£s)
Deposit as % of purchaseprice 2021
1 Year % change in Deposit
1 Yr % change in Average Price
Scotland
154,821
166,919
35,607
37,038
22%
4%
8%
North East
145,254
151,814
28,643
26,769
18%
-7%
5%
North West
175,389
189,588
34,185
33,983
18%
-1%
8%
Yorkshire and The Humber
167,267
177,683
33,032
31,212
18%
-6%
6%
East Midlands
199,503
210,203
39,077
37,171
18%
-5%
5%
West Midlands
204,948
209,270
41,928
37,159
18%
-11%
2%
East of England
297,548
303,166
58,531
55,250
18%
-6%
2%
London
488,771
475,819
130,281
115,759
24%
-11%
-3%
South East
322,386
320,591
66,706
60,953
19%
-9%
-1%
South West
239,434
252,263
51,178
49,592
20%
-3%
5%
Northern Ireland
147,394
156,594
29,546
29,199
19%
-1%
6%
Wales
165,272
180,392
32,368
33,622
19%
4%
9%
UK
256,057
264,140
57,278
53,935
20%
-6%
3%
Source: Bank of Scotland, 12 months December 2021
The research also looked at the age of buyers entering the market. In 2011 the average age was 29 for both Scotland and the UK. Since then, FTBs have got older and the average has diverged slightly, with it now standing at 31 in Scotland, compared to 32 for the UK.
Affordability better than most
Compared to the rest of the UK, affordability for first-time buyers in Scotland is relatively good. Nine of the ten most affordable areas to buy a first home are in Scotland, with only Allerdale in North West England preventing a clean sweep of Scottish local authorities (LAs). In Scotland's least affordable location, the City of Edinburgh, homes are more than twice as affordable as the UK's least affordable, Brent in London, where the average FTB home costs 12.3 times the average income, and below the UK average of 6.3x.
However, based on a benchmark of no more than 4x income for a house price to be considered 'affordable', 17 of 29 local authorities in Scotland are now 'unaffordable', up from just seven in 2011. (See Table 3)
The growth of house prices has outstripped the growth of wages in all but three local authorities in Scotland over the last 10 years (also the only three in the UK): Moray and Clackmannanshire saw marginal improvements in their price to earnings ratio (P/E ratio), while in East Ayrshire there was no change. In all other Scottish local authorities, first-time buyer affordability fell, with Argyll and Bute seeing the biggest deterioration.
Table 3. FTB affordability in Scotland
Local Authority Area
Average price 12 months to Dec 2021
Ave earnings 2021 est
P/E atio 2021
P/E ratio 2011
City of Edinburgh
£232,386
£42,244
5.5
4.1
East Lothian
£202,447
£36,865
5.5
4.1
Argyll and Bute
£153,833
£29,904
5.1
3.3
Aberdeen City
£176,920
£35,655
5.0
4.0
Midlothian
£179,725
£36,375
4.9
3.9
Highland
£167,990
£34,629
4.9
4.5
Aberdeenshire
£184,130
£38,387
4.8
4.2
Perth and Kinross
£165,766
£34,970
4.7
4.2
Scottish Borders
£155,173
£32,749
4.7
3.9
East Dunbartonshire
£213,480
£46,197
4.6
3.7
Glasgow City
£168,923
£36,602
4.6
3.5
Angus
£156,365
£33,926
4.6
4.2
Dundee City
£144,685
£31,477
4.6
3.7
West Lothian
£162,511
£36,431
4.5
3.3
Dumfries and Galloway
£136,341
£32,119
4.2
3.7
East Renfrewshire
£221,314
£54,034
4.1
3.6
Falkirk
£139,022
£34,266
4.1
3.2
Fife
£142,763
£35,896
4.0
3.1
Moray
£147,326
£37,308
3.9
4.0
Stirling
£179,658
£45,521
3.9
2.8
South Ayrshire
£137,748
£36,130
3.8
2.9
South Lanarkshire
£143,374
£37,793
3.8
3.2
Inverclyde
£121,975
£33,862
3.6
3.0
North Lanarkshire
£126,034
£35,098
3.6
3.2
Renfrewshire
£133,379
£38,006
3.5
2.9
North Ayrshire
£119,064
£36,116
3.3
3.0
East Ayrshire
£113,551
£35,556
3.2
3.2
West Dunbartonshire
£114,697
£36,107
3.2
3.1
Clackmannanshire
£108,317
£35,725
3.0
3.2
Graham Blair, Mortgages Director, Bank of Scotland, said: "2021 was a busy year for housing transactions in Scotland, and despite prices growing faster than wages, that surge of sales was seen not just in those moving home but also those getting their foot on the housing ladder.
"While working from home and the 'race for space' was key for many, particularly movers, it's clear that the Stamp Duty holiday increased the availability of first-rung homes as others moved up the ladder.
"Affordability for first-time buyers may be comparatively good in Scotland but it is falling, and fewer places than ever are seen as being within the reach of those getting on the housing ladder."
Lloyds Banking Group plc published this content on 22 January 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 22 January 2022 01:03:00 UTC.