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U.S. Crude-Oil Stockpiles Likely to Fall in DOE Data, Analysts Say

07/27/2021 | 11:20am EDT

By Dan Molinski

U.S. crude-oil stockpiles are expected to decrease from the previous week in data due Wednesday from the U.S. Energy Department, according to a survey of analysts and traders by The Wall Street Journal.

Estimates from 10 analysts and traders showed U.S. oil inventories are projected to have fallen by 2.2 million barrels in the week ended July 23, with forecasts ranging from a decline of 4.8 million barrels to an increase of 1 million barrels.

The closely watched survey from the DOE's Energy Information Administration is scheduled for release at 10:30 a.m. ET Wednesday.

Gasoline stockpiles are expected to fall by 1 million barrels from the previous week, according to analysts. Estimates range from a decrease of 3.1 million barrels to an increase of 1.5 million barrels.

Stocks of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel, are expected to fall by 400,000 barrels from the previous week. Forecasts range from a decrease of 3 million barrels to an increase of 1 million barrels.

Refinery use likely rose by 0.3 percentage point to 91.7% of capacity. Forecasts range from a decrease of 0.5 percentage point to a 1 percentage-point increase. Two analysts didn't make a forecast.

                                                                  Refinery 
                                    Crude  Gasoline  Distillates   Use 
 Again Capital                       -2.7      -3.1         -1.1       0.4 
 
 Commodity Research Group            -4.3      -0.5         unch       0.4 
 Confluence Investment Management      -2       1.5            1       0.5 
 DTN                                 -1.5      -1.1          0.8       0.2 
 Excel Futures                       -2.1      -1.5         -1.8       0.5 
 Spartan Capital Securities          -0.6      -1.6         -0.4       n/f 
 
 Mizuho                                -1        -1            1      -0.5 
 Price Futures Group                   -4        -2           -3         1 
 Ritterbusch and Associates          -4.8      -0.5         unch      -0.2 
 
 Tradition Energy                       1      -0.3         -0.3  n/f 
 
 AVERAGE                             -2.2      -1.0         -0.4       0.3 
 

Note: Numbers in millions of barrels, with the exception of refinery use, which is in percentage points.

n/f = no forecast

Write to Dan Molinski at da.molinski@wsj.com

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

07-27-21 1117ET

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